Kahuna74 wrote:Sorry hawk I put very little stock in anything that's on a .com web site. It is being founded by someone, who has an agenda. That 80% seems very high my open. I just ask one of my Professors here on campus and they said the same thing. 80% is an inflated number at best.
It very well might be inflated - I did after all pull if from 'twxt my cheeks (the "say" in my sentence is a dead giveaway). I don't think anybody's been able to pin down an actual number but I'd suspect that's largely beside the point. I mean, what would we do: start a dialog on how small the number of people that didn't starve would have to be before we'd feel good about rolling back the progress?
Personally, I could live with a very small number but that's mostly because I see the cost / benefit ratio working in favor of GMOs. If we saved several tens of thousands that'd be good enough for me. Several hundreds of thousands a slam dunk and several million a no-brainer. Paul Ehrlich said several billion would die but they didn't - I guess he has the award for hyperbolic prediction but a lot of people of my generation believed him.
Same with malaria - I recall one health worker noted that if you loaded a 747 with children and it flew into the side of a mountain, do you think the media would be all over it? Would people be screaming that something be done? "Well," he said "how about that happens seven times a day, every day, all year, now can you see the media response?" I checked his math and with an estimate of 500,000 deaths, most under the age of 5 with most in sub-Saharan Africa it was close enough.
But what if it was only one 747 full of children per day? It would still justify deploying DDT if it helped. They're now managing to make progress without DDT but that's perhaps more to do with Bill Gates than any government.
People trump birds. Old fashioned notion I know but I'm comfortable with it.
As to the Copenhagen Consensus being a "dot-com" - try it, you might be surprised. Invest 30 minutes of your life. I spent that much reading citations here that led directly to Salon
hit pieces. A little reciprocity never hurt anyone.
And the fact I'm still living rent free in his head makes me grin and giggle.